Paul Ryan’s Budget Plan: More Big Tax Cuts for the Rich

By :: March 23rd, 2012

No surprise here, but the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income people and very modest—or no— benefits for low income working households, according to a new analysis by the Tax Policy Center.

TPC looked only at the tax reductions in Ryan's plan, which also included offsetting--but unidentified--cuts in tax credits, exclusions, and deductions. TPC found that in 2015, relative to today’s tax system, those making $1 million or more would enjoy an average tax cut of $265,000 and see their after-tax income increase by 12.5 percent. By contrast, half of those making between $20,000 and $30,000 would get no tax cut at all. On average, people in that income group would get a tax reduction of $129. Ryan would raise their after-tax income by 0.5 percent.

Nearly all middle-income households (those making between $50,000 and $75,000) would see their taxes fall, by an average of roughly $1,000. Ryan would increase their after-tax income by about 2 percent.

Ryan would extend all of the 2001/2003 tax cuts, and then consolidate individual rates to just two—10 and 25 percent. In addition, he’d repeal the Alternative Minimum Tax, reduce the corporate rate from 35 percent to 25 percent, and kill the tax provisions of the 2010 health reform law.

Earlier this week, TPC projected the tax cuts in Ryan's budget would add $4.6 trillion to the federal deficit over the next decade, even after extending the 2001/2003 tax cuts, which would add another $5.4 trillion to the deficit.

Ryan argues that eliminating or scaling back deductions, credits, and exclusions ought to be part of the GOP fiscal plan. But he won’t say how.

Cuts in those tax preferences could make a big difference in determining who wins and who loses from the tax portion of his budget. But until House Republicans describe which they’d cut, there is no way to estimate what those base-broadeners would mean.

In truth, unless Republicans raise taxes on capital gains and dividends, it is hard to imagine the highest income households getting anything other than a windfall from this budget. Other tax preferences, such as the mortgage interest deduction, are just not that valuable to them.

And since no high-profile Republicans want to raise taxes on gains and dividends (and many would cut investment taxes even further) this budget would likely result in a huge tax cut for those who need it least.  That’s not a great way to start an exercise whose stated goal is to eliminate the budget deficit.

78Comments

  1. Michael Bindner  ::  9:29 pm on March 23rd, 2012:

    Luckily, unless they strike a compromise with Obama or Obama geeks on extending the Bush tax cuts, Ryan has no say in the matter. As far as outlining proposals on how to do the tax changes Ryan wants, that is up to Chairman Camp of Ways and Means, not Paul Ryan. I still suspect that the prospect of Clinton level inheritance taxes coming back automatically has gotten enough GOP donors nervous to push a compromise. Especially after Obama forced them to accept an unpaid for Payroll Tax and Unemployment Extension.

  2. chris stopp  ::  12:49 pm on March 24th, 2012:

    Michael,
    There are no more “Bush Tax Cuts”, after Obama extended them they are now just “tax cuts” or “Obama’s Tax Cuts”. Secondly, this article is stating that they are tax cuts for the rich? It appears as though the Ryan Plan broadens and simplifies the tax code into two brackets and takes away loopholes, I much prefer a tax code that increases participation from the current 52% of Americans that actually pay taxes. Well done Mr. Ryan!

    By the way, what exactly is the Democrats plan? Can anyone show me their budget? The answer is no, we have had no budget from the Dems for over 1,000 days now even though they only need 51 votes.

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  4. CLARENCE SWINNEY  ::  12:11 pm on March 26th, 2012:

    lET US TRY SIMPLE SOLUTIONS
    a.Fed Fund Election–6 months–3 primary 3 general–debate a week=12=adequate to evaluate candidates no $$$$ O

    B.Congress + White House can accept nothing with a financial value current or future–keep em on job off road close K street bribery

    C. Progressive FLAT tax by group burn tax book start anew
    Tis a shame we rank #2 as Least Taxed in oecd nations
    Borrowed to enrich the rich instead of taxing to pay our way.
    #2–Least tax on corporations–OH! did you not know they have 35% Tax Rate? But? Why did in 2011 they pay a 12.1% Tax Rate(after deductions)–a 2.5% Tax Rate in 2008 and 15% in 2000?????
    12.1%(afterdeductions) is about 10% of Total Income.

    Overtaxed? Ha Ha In 2009, top 50% got 87% of income and paid
    a 12.5% Tax Rate(after deductions)or about 10% of Total Income

    Is we Learning?

  5. Around The Dial – March 26, 2012 | South By North Strategies, Ltd.  ::  3:01 pm on March 26th, 2012:

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  12. The Republican idea that the rich don’t have enough | Under the Mountain Bunker  ::  1:50 pm on April 28th, 2012:

    […] what we know about these ideas. Over the next ten years, Ryan’s tax plan would cost the federal government $4.6 trillion in revenue on top of the $5 trillion it costs to permanently […]

  13. Fabricated Details on Tax Reform  ::  12:47 pm on June 29th, 2012:

    […] The JEC report premises this faulty conclusion on incomplete work from the Tax Policy Center (TPC). The TPC report is incomplete because, as it admits, there aren’t enough details for them to do a full analysis of the plan. Nevertheless, using the spare details available to them, they released a report showing the plan to be a tax cut and called it as much in a subsequent blog post. […]

  14. Vote For Obama & Vote For Economic Disaster – Page 8 – City-Data Forum  ::  1:22 pm on July 22nd, 2012:

    […] and did not raise rates for anyone else, that would add $5.4 trillion to the debt over ten years. (source) But Ryan has unidentified tax deductions. Other Republicans say that includes the home mortgage […]

  15. The Ryan Budget – Page 2 – US Message Board – Political Discussion Forum  ::  5:17 pm on August 11th, 2012:

    […] […]

  16. Paul Ryan Reading Guide: The Best Reporting on the VP Candidate « Actualités Alternatives « Je veux de l'info  ::  7:44 pm on August 11th, 2012:

    […] Brookings Institution, found that “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income peopleand very modest—or no— benefits for low income working […]

  17. Veterans Against Occupy Wall Street Paul Ryan Reading Guide: The Best Reporting on the VP Candidate  ::  7:53 pm on August 11th, 2012:

    […] Brookings Institution, found that “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income peopleand very modest—or no— benefits for low income working […]

  18. Seven Things The Media Need To Know About Paul Ryan | Hateriotic.org  ::  8:18 pm on August 11th, 2012:

    […] Cuts in those tax preferences could make a big difference in determining who wins and who loses from the tax portion of his budget. But until House Republicans describe which they’d cut, there is no way to estimate what those base-broadeners would mean. [Tax Policy Center's TaxVox, 3/23/12]  […]

  19. Paul Ryan Reading Guide: The Best Reporting on the VP Candidate  ::  6:37 am on August 12th, 2012:

    […] Institution, found that “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income peopleand very modest—or no— benefits for low income working […]

  20. Paul Ryan economics: 5 things to know – All About Forex Market | All About Forex Market  ::  2:46 pm on August 12th, 2012:

    […] breaks get trimmed, the rich would see a big tax cut under Ryan’s tax plan, according to TaxVox columnist Howard Gleckman, citing an analysis by the Tax Policy […]

  21. Paul Ryan economics: 5 things to know  ::  3:33 pm on August 12th, 2012:

    […] breaks get trimmed, the rich would see a big tax cut under Ryan’s tax plan, according to TaxVox columnist Howard Gleckman, citing an analysis by the Tax Policy […]

  22. Randians of the World Unite « provangelical  ::  5:03 pm on August 12th, 2012:

    […] fact doesn’t make Ryan serious or realistic.  What’s the problem?  First, his plan calls for extreme tax cuts that preferentially favor the wealthy.  It creates a federal income tax structure with just two rates, 10 and 25%.  This means that in […]

  23. PAUL RYAN ECONOMICS — Financial Press  ::  7:19 pm on August 12th, 2012:

    […] breaks get trimmed, the rich would see a big tax cut under Ryan’s tax plan, according to TaxVox columnist Howard Gleckman, citing an analysis by the Tax Policy […]

  24. PAUL RYAN ECONOMICS – All About Forex Market | All About Forex Market  ::  8:57 pm on August 12th, 2012:

    […] breaks get trimmed, the rich would see a big tax cut under Ryan’s tax plan, according to TaxVox columnist Howard Gleckman, citing an analysis by the Tax Policy […]

  25. PAUL RYAN ECONOMICS | News to Watch  ::  10:37 pm on August 12th, 2012:

    […] breaks get trimmed, the rich would see a big tax cut under Ryan’s tax plan, according to TaxVox columnist Howard Gleckman, citing an analysis by the Tax Policy […]

  26. Paul Ryan Reading Guide: The Best Reporting on the VP Candidate | NewsTaco  ::  12:50 pm on August 13th, 2012:

    […] Institution, found that “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income peopleand very modest—or no— benefits for low income working […]

  27. How Ryan’s Budgets Could Affect Ours  ::  4:31 pm on August 13th, 2012:

    […] an average tax cut of 5,000 and see their after-tax income increase by 12.5 percent,” TPC found. “By contrast, half of those making between ,000 and ,000 would get no tax cut at […]

  28. How Ryan’s Budgets Could Affect Ours  ::  4:41 pm on August 13th, 2012:

    […] an average tax cut of $265,000 and see their after-tax income increase by 12.5 percent,” TPC found. “By contrast, half of those making between $20,000 and $30,000 would get no tax cut at […]

  29. A Choice and An Echo | Politics and Film  ::  8:15 pm on August 13th, 2012:

    […] the Ryan budget actually adds $4.3 trillion to the national debt over the decade, according to the Tax Policy Institute, a joint venture of the Urban Institute and the Brookings […]

  30. The Poor Get Poorer: How Ryan’s Budgets Would Affect Ours | Camarillo Publishing Co.  ::  9:28 pm on August 13th, 2012:

    […] an average tax cut of $265,000 and see their after-tax income increase by 12.5 percent,” TPC found. “By contrast, half of those making between $20,000 and $30,000 would get no tax cut at […]

  31. How Ryan’s Budgets Could Affect Ours | Stock Market News – Business & Tech News  ::  10:44 pm on August 13th, 2012:

    […] an average tax cut of $265,000 and see their after-tax income increase by 12.5 percent,” TPC found. “By contrast, half of those making between $20,000 and $30,000 would get no tax cut at […]

  32. Paul Ryan's economics – All About Forex Market | All About Forex Market  ::  3:26 am on August 14th, 2012:

    […] breaks get trimmed, the rich would see a big tax cut under Ryan’s tax plan, according to TaxVox columnist Howard Gleckman, citing an analysis by the Tax Policy […]

  33. Paul Ryan’s stance on the most important small business matters – Washington Post  ::  8:16 am on August 14th, 2012:

    […] An analysis of Ryan’s proposal by the Tax Policy Center suggested it would give a $ 265,000 tax break on average to Americans earning more than $ 1 million each year. Small business advocates and economists have come down on both sides of the resulting debate, some arguing that continued tax relief for the wealthy would promote hiring and investments by business owners, while others say such breaks should be reserved for low-income earners and the middle class. […]

  34. Paul Ryan’s stance on the most important small business matters | svbs-ltd.com  ::  8:18 am on August 14th, 2012:

    […] An analysis of Ryan’s proposal by the Tax Policy Center suggested it would give a $265,000 tax break on average to Americans earning more than $1 million each year. Small business advocates and economists have come down on both sides of the resulting debate, some arguing that continued tax relief for the wealthy would promote hiring and investments by business owners, while others say such breaks should be reserved for low-income earners and the middle class. […]

  35. Paul Ryan’s stance on the most important small business matters – Washington Post | Only Hits Radio – Where Only Music Matters  ::  8:32 am on August 14th, 2012:

    […] An analysis of Ryan’s proposal by the Tax Policy Center suggested it would give a $265,000 tax break on average to Americans earning more than $1 million each year. Small business advocates and economists have come down on both sides of the resulting debate, some arguing that continued tax relief for the wealthy would promote hiring and investments by business owners, while others say such breaks should be reserved for low-income earners and the middle class. […]

  36. Paul Ryan’s stance on the most important small business matters | BusinessWorld Ads  ::  8:47 am on August 14th, 2012:

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  37. Leomoo.com – Paul Ryan’s stance on the most important small business matters  ::  8:56 am on August 14th, 2012:

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  38. Top of the morning « The Progressive Pulse  ::  9:00 am on August 14th, 2012:

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    […] to the Tax Policy Center, Ryan’s plan would result in a an average tax cut of $265,000 for Americans making $1 million […]

  40. It’s Ryancare vs. Obamacare | Populareconomicsblog  ::  11:01 am on August 14th, 2012:

    […] Howard Gleckman, a senior fellow at the Urban Institute, a policy research organization, wrote in summarizing the findings of the Tax Policy […]

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    […] Bush’s lower capital gains tax (of 15%) permanent. The Washington Post report: “An analysis of Ryan’s proposal by the Tax Policy Center suggested it would give a $ 265,000 tax break on […]

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    […] to the Tax Policy Center, Ryan’s plan would result in a an average tax cut of $265,000 for Americans making $1 million […]

  46. Brian  ::  3:08 pm on August 14th, 2012:

    Chris,

    Until they sunset, they will be the Bush Tax Cuts. BTW, everyone pays taxes. Some people don’t pay income tax; those people are really poor.

  47. Paul Ryan’s Economic Policies « Peace and Freedom  ::  3:48 pm on August 14th, 2012:

    […] to the Tax Policy Center, Ryan’s plan would result in a an average tax cut of $265,000 for Americans making $1 million […]

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    […] Institution, found that “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income peopleand very modest—or no— benefits for low income working […]

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  54. miners71  ::  10:17 am on August 16th, 2012:

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    […] to the Tax Policy Center, Ryan’s plan would result in a an average tax cut of $265,000 for Americans making $1 million […]

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    […] problem with Ryan isn’t on the entitlement reform side; it’s on the revenue side. His assumption that another round of supply-side tax cuts will spark growth and unleash pent-up […]

  57. ProPublica: Paul Ryan Reading Guide: The Best Reporting on the VP Candidate « GusGus  ::  9:42 pm on August 16th, 2012:

    […] Institution, found that “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income peopleand very modest—or no— benefits for low income working […]

  58. Paul Ryan Reading Guide: The Best Reporting on the VP Candidate | Liberal Media Books  ::  10:04 am on August 17th, 2012:

    […] Institution, found that “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income peopleand very modest—or no— benefits for low income working […]

  59. PAUL RYAN! Mitt Romney Just Chose His Running Mate, Tea Party Darling & Author Of The Brutal “Ryan Plan”, Paul Ryan – Embraces Ayn Rand’s Philosophy And Backs Dismantling FDR’s NEW DEAL. This Is All You Need To Know About Romney’s Vision F  ::  12:21 pm on August 17th, 2012:

    […] an average tax cut of $265,000 and see their after-tax income increase by 12.5 percent,” TPC found. “By contrast, half of those making between $20,000 and $30,000 would get no tax cut at […]

  60. US: Paul Ryan Reading Guide: The Best Reporting on the VP Candidate | The Descrier  ::  4:44 am on August 20th, 2012:

    […] Institution, found that “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income peopleand very modest—or no— benefits for low income working […]

  61. For People of Color, Paul Ryan May Be Even Worse Than Romney | the wolfess peon's blog  ::  12:09 am on August 21st, 2012:

    […] of the Ryan plan by the non-partisan Tax Policy Center concludes, “those making $1 million or more would enjoy an average tax cut of $265,000 and see their […]

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  63. US and WORLD NEWS « Bizmatnewsinternational online  ::  9:49 am on August 25th, 2012:

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  64. What Paul Ryan learned from Jack Kemp  ::  8:15 am on August 31st, 2012:

    […] to make tough cuts to rein in spending. Rather than singling out low-income Americans for help, he wants to scale back tax breaks while lowering rates for high- and low-income households […]

  65. Assignment 2: Due week of 9/10 | American Government / AP Government  ::  7:15 pm on September 6th, 2012:

    […] Howard Gleckman, a senior fellow at the Urban Institute, a policy research organization, wrote in summarizing the findings of the Tax Policy […]

  66. House Passes Budget with Huge Spending Cuts for the Poor and Tax Cuts for the Rich | lisabeers.com  ::  11:14 am on October 1st, 2012:

    […] reduce the deficit in a way that does not increase poverty or widen inequality.”    A new analysis by the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center (TPC) finds that people earning more than $1 million a year would each receive an average of […]

  67. Paul Ryan Reading Guide: The Best Reporting on the VP Candidate | Elm River Free Press  ::  2:12 pm on October 11th, 2012:

    […] Brookings Institution, found that “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income peopleand very modest—or no— benefits for low income working […]

  68. Paul Ryan Reading Guide: The Best Reporting on the VP Candidate | The Shrike.ca  ::  11:01 pm on October 11th, 2012:

    […] Institution, found that “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income peopleand very modest—or no— benefits for low income working […]

  69. Paul Ryan–where do you stand–really?  ::  3:15 pm on October 15th, 2012:

    […] Institution, found that “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income peopleand very modest—or no— benefits for low income working […]

  70. The Adventures of Paul Ryan: Corvallis’ Grim Hypothetical Future | The Corvallis Advocate  ::  1:04 am on October 25th, 2012:

    […] prosperity tax gospel consists of marginal rate adjustments for the bottom 95 percent and, as Howard Gleckman from the Tax Policy Center, a think tank, put it, “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 […]

  71. Rahul  ::  12:18 pm on December 5th, 2012:

    I returned to the Rock seven weeks ago and have been upadnitg my understanding of the current provincial political scene. It’s seem’s to me that today’s political landscape appears pretty bland compared to the colourful situations of times past and that you therefore have a formidable task ahead of you, keeping things interesting. I don’t doubt you are up to the challange but oh: for the days of Val Manus, Hughie Shea and Rod the telephone man .

  72. News Analysis: With Ryan, Romney Casts Spotlight on Budget Details – World Bad News : World Bad News  ::  1:19 am on December 14th, 2012:

    […] Gleckman, a comparison associate during a Urban Institute, a process investigate organization, wrote in summarizing a commentary of a Tax Policy […]

  73. http://tinyurl.com/termhorne05437  ::  1:33 am on January 23rd, 2013:

    Thanks for taking free time to write “TaxVox

  74. Who Is Paul Ryan? A Reading Guide | Partisan Daily  ::  10:17 pm on July 15th, 2013:

    […] Institution, found that “the tax cuts in Paul Ryan’s 2013 budget plan would result in huge benefits for high-income peopleand very modest—or no— benefits for low income working […]

  75. Un voyage sensationnel en a Grece  ::  12:25 am on February 1st, 2014:

    Nice web site Hortense

  76. CT Blue › Paul Ryan courts the huddled masses  ::  11:16 pm on August 9th, 2014:

    […] for attracting the support of low income voters is to stop unemployment benefits, slash Medicaid, cut taxes on the rich, and cut food stamps. And that's just the start, as he's got social security disability and […]

  77. 10 Ways Martha McSally Would Attack the Middle Class DAY EIGHT: McSally would raise taxes on middle class families | Ron Barber for Congress  ::  6:19 pm on August 18th, 2014:

    […] Under the Ryan Budget, millionaires would see an average tax cut of $265,000 before Bush tax cuts kicked in. According to an analysis by the Tax Policy Center, “those making $1 million or more would enjoy an average tax cut of $265,000 and see their after-tax income increase by 12.5 percent.” [Tax Policy Center, 3/23/12] […]

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