Archive for the ‘Recession’ Category

Should Muni Bonds Pay To Demolish Buildings?

Two Ohio Members of Congress have introduced a bill to allow states to issue tax-exempt bonds to demolish buildings. Not to build them, but to destroy them. Score this one as a bad solution to a real problem. The lawmakers, Republican Steve LaTourette and Democrat Marcia Fudge, want to allow state governments to issue up to $4 [...]

A Federal Umbrella for State Rainy Days?

As state legislatures return for what promises to be yet another difficult budget year, they ought to be starting to refill their rainy day funds–those accounts that set aside money for future hard times. That’s a tough decision. After all, for the past three years, states have been raising taxes and cutting spending just to [...]

Unfinished Business after the Debt Deal

Congress headed off for its summer vacation yesterday, exhausted after the protracted wrangling over the debt limit that ended with a whimper when President Obama signed the bill that lets the government continue to pay its bills. Few people were happy with the result—the best you can say for it is that we won’t have [...]

Two Bad Tax Ideas for Creating Jobs

In Washington, bad ideas never go away. Now two old tax breaks have resurfaced with the ostensible goal of creating jobs, despite plenty of evidence that neither actually works. One would create a payroll tax break (aimed at employers instead of workers this time). The other would grant a temporary tax holiday to multinational corporations that [...]

Between a Fiscal Rock and a Hard Place

The Congressional Budget Office’s annual mid-session update provides some striking evidence of just how challenging today’s fiscal environment is. Because deficits were so high going into the economic slump, and because the financial crash was so steep, Washington must now navigate between two unacceptable outcomes: tight fiscal policy and slower growth now, or bigger deficits and slower growth later.

How Much Damage Did the Market Crash Do to Retirement Security?

The stock market collapse of 2007-2009 was the worst since the 1930s, and rivaled in modern times only by the crash of 1973-74. But the real question for those counting on equities to help fund their retirement security is: “What are my long-term prospects in the wake of the carnage?”

Now that I’ve got your attention

I was quoted in the New York Times yesterday, which is kind of fun. Many of my friends read the Times, and it’s a great way to make new friends, and enemies.

The Economy Is Bad, But It Isn’t The Great Depression.

We need to get a grip, people. This is not The Great Depression—The Sequel.
Make no mistake, the economy is very bad, as rough as it has been since the early 1980s. But, despite what many are saying and writing, the recession that began in the winter of 2008 is not the Great Depression. Not even close.
Employment, price levels, Gross Domestic Product, the stock market. Pick a data series, any data series, and you’ll get the same result: awful, for sure, but hardly 1929. CEA chair Christy Romer, a highly respected scholar of the Depression before joining the Obama Administration, put the current unpleasantness in context the other day at Brookings.