Tax Day has come and gone and IRS commissioner Doug Shulman says refunds this year will total roughly $300 billion. About two-thirds of that amount had already gone out to early tax filers by the beginning of this month. That’s a significant amount of money and it could boost the economy—if recipients spend it. In today’s economic environment, that’s a big if.   more »

It’s never too early to plan for next year’s taxes. Let’s say you’re thinking about doing some energy-saving home improvements soon and want to know what federal tax credits are available and how they work. How would you find out? You might try the IRS website. I did but, unfortunately, couldn’t find any information about energy credits for 2009.   more »

Commenter dh has raised a provocative question in response to my post the other day about why I hate filing taxes: “I wonder if the use of tax software actually increased the complexity of the tax code. Perhaps the fact that AMT was reaching a large swatch of the population would (have) been addressed sooner if everyone was required to hire an accountant rather than buy a $50 program to figure it out.”    more »

I still haven’t finished my taxes, probably because it is the civic duty I hate the most. It isn’t the paying that bothers me. It is the process. I hate that I have to give a private company $49.95 to help me perform a basic act of citizenship. I hate that I must sit in front of a computer for hours mindlessly typing in numbers. I hate that the Tax Code is an incomprehensible black box. The software asks for a number. I type it in. It appears on a form, and I, more or less, assume it is right. Mostly, I hate that the Tax Code is so damn complicated.    more »

At a fascinating TPC panel this afternoon, TPC’s Bob Williams, former CBO director (and McCain economic adviser) Doug Holtz-Eakin, former top Ronald Reagan tax adviser John (Buck) Chapoton, and Center on Budget & Policy Priorities executive director Bob Greenstein all wrestled with the nature—and future--of our progressive tax system.   more »

There are already signs that a key tax element of President Obama’s budget--his proposal to limit to 28 percent the value of all tax deductions—may not survive on Capitol Hill. And if it is allowed to die, Congress may find itself staring squarely at another hard-to swallow tax hike—trimming the tax exclusion for employer-sponsored insurance. Key Republicans have strongly objected to the curb on deductions. Powerful Democrats, including Finance Committee chairman Max Baucus (D-Mt), are less than enthusiastic. Charities that fear they will lose contributions are gearing up for a big fight, even though TPC estimates that gifts would decline by only about 2 percent. And in the face of this criticism the Administration has signaled that it may not fight very hard to save the proposal. "We recognize there are other ways to do this," Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner told the Finance panel yesterday.    more »

This won’t take long. If you are blue-collar wage earner, a low-income family with children, or a college student, you should love President Obama’s tax plan. On the other hand, if you are making more than $250,000, you may not be so happy: By 2011, you'd be paying a lot more tax than you've gotten used to over the past few years. To the surprise of absolutely nobody, Obama’s budget includes many of the tax changes he promised during the campaign. He’d make permanent many of the “temporary” tax cuts in the just-passed stimulus. Working families would continue to get an $800-a-year tax cut long after the recession ends, and they’d continue to enjoy the benefits of a more generous Earned Income Credit and a more refundable child credit. Obama is proposing tax reductions for low- and moderate-income families of almost $800 billion over the next decade.    more »

How much will the $300 billion in tax cuts approved today by the House Ways & Means Committee really stimulate the economy? They will help some, but don’t expect them to accomplish a lot. I’d give the overall plan a Gentleman’s C. Some provisions would channel money to low-income people most likely to spend it, but deliver the cash too slowly. Others distribute the funds relatively quickly, but give an awful lot to wealthier taxpayers who are least likely to spend it.    more »

Have you seen the new tax calculators produced by the Obama and McCain campaigns? The idea is simple enough—make tax real for ordinary voters. Instead of talking about trillions of dollars or 95 percent of working families, describe what an Obama or McCain presidency would mean for real taxpayers.    more »

A few more thoughts on "Barack the wealth spreader," as Sarah Palin now describes the Democratic nominee. I'm inspired in part by commenter D.F., who wrote this morning, "Tax rebates don't work. We need a flat tax." First off, John McCain is right when he says Obama's tax plan is redistributionist, if by that he means his rival would give his biggest tax cuts to the lowest earners. TPC calculates that Obama would cut the average tax rate for the lowest 20 percent of earners by more than 5 percent while he'd raise the rate by a roughly equal amount for the top 1 percent.    more »

John McCain says Barack Obama’s enthusiasm for refundable tax credits amounts to socialism. Wow. This is interesting for so many reasons. To start, the mother of all refundable credits is the Earned Income Credit, which is the largest poverty program in the U.S. and distributes $42 billion to more than 20 million low-income families. It was enacted during the Presidency of well-known leftist Gerald Ford, and has been expanded repeatedly ever since, most recently by President Bush in 2001.    more »

A commenter has asked an interesting question about the relationship between small business income and the number of workers in these firms. The FactCheck.org item Len Burman and Eric Toder cited in their blog post this morning reports that 20 million small businesses—many sidelines businesses or hobbies—;have no employees at all besides the proprietor. But it would be good to learn more about the rest. We’d like to hear from any of you who have other data or thoughts about this question.    more »

The most interesting thing I heard in last night's debate between John McCain and Barack Obama (in fact, the only interesting thing I heard) was McCain's call for a new federal effort to directly refinance residential mortgages into new low-interest loans. The plan got me thinking about a provocative way to pay for it—eliminate the mortgage interest deduction for these new loans.   more »

With Barack Obama and John McCain arguing about who is going to cut taxes more, I though it would be interesting to find out what investors think is going to happen to their tax bills in the coming years. So, in a totally unscientific survey, I asked four money managers what their clients think. The results were striking: Every one said their clients overwhelmingly believed their taxes would rise in the coming four years, no matter who is president. As you watch tonight's debate, keep in mind both candidates are desparately pitching tax cuts to voters who don't believe either will deliver.    more »

Barack Obama’s fiscal policy can be summarized pretty simply: Cut taxes for low- and middle-class Americans, boost spending for education, health care, and alternative energy, and pay for much of it raising taxes on the rich. That’s not the only way he’d finance his ambitious plans, of course—he’d also have to borrow $3 trillion and get some money from ending the war in Iraq—but he hopes to generate nearly $300 billion over the next decade just from rolling back the Bush tax rate cuts on high-bracket taxpayers.    more »