While everyone has focused on the individual elements of the stimulus bills working their way through Congress, few have paid much attention to the business provisions. They should, because they could turn out to be an awfully big waste of money.   more »

Not to spoil the stimulus party or anything, but the budget deficit this year could well approach $500 billion.    more »

Six months ago, states were predicting balanced budgets and surpluses. Virtually all had surpluses at the end of fiscal year 2007 and more than half had ending balances equaling at least 10 percent of their general funds. Governors and legislatures were happily talking about property tax relief and expanding medical coverage to the uninsured.   more »

Well, it could have been worse. President Bush and House leaders say they have cut a deal on a $150 billion stimulus package—about $100 billion for families and individuals and about $50 billion for businesses. The centerpiece of the plan: a cash payment of at least $300 for most wage earners, along with an additional $300 per child.    more »

With stock markets around the world sucking wind, and the Federal Reserve approving a stunning emergency interest rate cut of 75 basis points to try to forestall a Wall Street plunge, there no doubt that Washington policymakers will jump into the fray with a fiscal stimulus of their own.   more »

When it comes to stimulus, President Bush and congressional Democrats may not quite be on the same page, but at least they are reading from the same book. I just wonder whether it is the right one.    more »

Let's say President Bush and Congress agree that the U.S. needs a fiscal boost to jump-start the sluggish economy. Let's say they even reach a consensus on what to do (fantasy, perhaps, but bear with me). Could tax cuts and direct aid get to individuals, business, and states in time to forestall a recession?   more »

At the Brookings Institution this morning, a standing-room only crowd heard five economic heavyweights debate what may become the central domestic policy issue of 2008. Do we need fiscal stimulus to keep the nation out of recession, and, if we do, what should it look like?   more »