Steny Hoyer and the Deficit: “We’re Lying to Ourselves and Our Children”
Maryland Democratic congressman Steny Hoyer is something of a throwback. In an age of ideological extremes, the House Majority Leader is a moderate. At a time when elected officials are held in low esteem, the #2 House Democrat proudly serves in his fourth decade as a legislator. And when incendiary speech is the ticket to political stardom, Hoyer is far more comfortable counting votes in legislative backrooms than delivering red-meat polemics.
But this morning Hoyer gave what may turn out to be one of the most candid and important domestic political speeches of the year. Speaking to The Third Way, a middle-of-the-road Democratic think-tank, Hoyer called for a bipartisan effort to balance the need for short-run economic recovery with long-term deficit reduction. Not much new there. Lots of pols have delivered a similar message in recent months. But what made Hoyer’s talk matter is that he named names.
It is easy to say, “everything is on the table.’ It is not so easy for an elected official to explicitly describe what that means. Hoyer did. And his remarks won’t make him any friends within the Democratic base. Among his proposals: Trim future Medicare costs. Raise the Social Security retirement age. Adjust both programs to focus benefits on those who need them most, even if it means reducing benefits for wealthy retirees. Cut defense spending. Have a “serious discussion” about whether to permanently extend the Bush tax cuts for those making less than $250,000 as President Obama wants. Enforce budget rules that require Congress to pay for new spending and tax cuts.
Economic recovery remains Hoyer's top priority. But when it comes to the need for deficit reduction, he didn’t pull his punches: “We’re lying to ourselves and our children if we say we can maintain our current levels of entitlement spending, defense spending, and taxation without bankrupting our country.”
Hoyer is no pie-in-the-sky idealist. For instance, he recognizes flaws in an Obama-favored PAYGO system that exempts Congress from having to finance tax cuts for the middle class and a handful of rich estates, as well as temporarily protecting physicians from reductions in Medicare payments. But, he says, in the real world Congress would simply waive the law for these proposals anyway. Hoyer would fix this problem by turning from unfunded temporary fixes to permanent changes that reflect true long-term costs.
While Hoyer is a moderate, he remains a Democratic partisan. And he rips Republican lawmakers for opposing both tax increases and efforts to trim future growth in Medicare spending. He also hammers the GOP for the sin of superficiality: “The eagerness of so many to blast spending in the abstract without offering solutions that come close to measuring up to the size of the problem.”
But make no mistake, Hoyer’s main audience was Democrats. He signaled to them (and to Obama) that he is willing to take on his own party’s sacred cows, including Medicare, Social Security, and those “middle-income” tax cuts that have been so important to the President.
Hoyer is not just another Blue Dog back bencher. He matters. And as Washington continues to struggle with the deficit, so will this speech.
Want to save some money? Put all federal employees on 4 day work weeks for a year. I just went through 15 months of it before being laid off. The next thing is end this financial bleedout in Afghanistan and Iraq. Afghanistan is a black hole, we can secure our nation without the expense of nation building. The congress and the president seem intent on carrying out the Bush adgenda, this is not why we voted for you.
“Some claim that those savings are imaginary, because Congress will cave to pressure and revoke the bill’s cost-cutting provisions. That is a risk that we must avoid.”
Does Hoyer back this up with a promise to vote against a doc fix that is not fully offset? No.
Hoyer may talk a good game, but he will continue to vote with the leadership of his party as they accelerate toward the fiscal cliff.
It would be nice if he laid down the law and insisted that the choice to fund extended unemployment was either debt finance or raising the unemployment tax – and that the doc fix should either be debt funded or come from raising the Hospital Insurance Tax and premiums. Looking for savings elsewhere, especially doing so by raiding private pensions, is dishonest.
It is easy to say, “everything is on the table.’ It is not so easy for an elected official to explicitly describe what that means. Hoyer did.
I disagree. He gave a laundry list of the types of changes to be considered, but he deferred any specifics until the placebo deficit commission completes its work. That's an obvious dodge.
If Hoyer his party were serious, they would used their historic majority to cut long-term spending commitments and enact future-oriented tax increases. Instead they added a huge new long-term spending commitment for health care. You might be tempted to believe that they value political gain over fiscal sanity.
Hoyer said it himself: “It would be easy for a cynic to say that we will never touch those policies until a crisis forces our hand.”
Any first grader knows that these things need to be done.
However, another major item is to reduce ALL, current and futre retiree government benefits to not more than the US private sector average along with a 10 to 20% real wage reduction. They aren't sustainable and represent one of the largest's future liabilities.
Let's also put all unfunded liabilities on the books, just like with GAAP and use those real numbers to develop real solutions.
Like gangerene, we will go thru the pain of losing a limb, but perhaps, just perhaps, if we get serious and act now, we may save the patient.