Brad DeLong’s Modest Proposal
In his blog today, Brad DeLong argued that TPC had been less influential over the past decade than the liberal Democratic think tank Center for American Progress. Brad's theory is that organizations such as TPC, the Brookings Institution’s Hamilton Project, and the Center for Budget & Policy Priorities have, essentially, been too wimpy to be effective. DeLong thus joins the camp of Paul Krugman (and Rush Limbaugh, Sarah Palin, and Newt Gingrich) in arguing that life in the middle-of-the-road makes you roadkill.
Brad knows his economics very well. Public policy, not so much.
This is how he describes what TPC does:
“TPC views its mission as (a) figuring out what the good policies are, (b) building a coalition for those policies from the center–starting with one Democrat and one Republican each of whom wants to be in the position of winning applause for putting policy substance above partisanship–and then building out from there, and (c) arguing that supporting bipartisan initiatives is a good way for legislators to raise their chances of reelection. To say “yes, right now the Democrats are being a lot more sensible than the Republicans” spoils the first step of that, and so is not something that TPC can say and remain true to its mission.’
The trouble is, Brad fundamentally misunderstands what we do. He got (a) right. Figuring out what good policies are is exactly what we try to do. And I’m glad he thinks we succeed. But we don’t do (b) and we don’t do (c). TPC doesn’t build coalitions of any kind—from the center or from anywhere else. We don’t play Noah, bringing pols two-by-two onto our policy ark. We, in fact, have no policy ark. Rudy Penner, one of our scholars, does have a sailboat. But I don’t think it is the same.
We gather and analyze data, present it in useful ways and without partisan spin, and tell politicians and the public about the likely consequences of tax policy. What they do with that information is up to them. Occasionally, they use it to design laws that have a shot at working.
Sometimes, advocacy groups use our data to make the case for one policy position or another. We wish them well. But it is not what we do.
I think Brad’s biggest error is his belief that we are bipartisan. We are not. We are proudly non-partisan. This is not the same thing. I don’t think it would be a good idea to elect 50 Democrats and 50 Republicans to the Senate, or that a President should seek middle-of-the-road solutions to all problems. As an organization, TPC does not think so either.
Our reputation for nonpartisanship is critical to what we do. It is why people across the political spectrum acknowledge our estimates are credible even as they sometimes grumble about what the results imply for their own policy views. If we lose that credibility by turning ourselves into DeLongian partisans, the data lose much of their value.
Our non-partisanship is what makes TPC so different from an outfit like the Center for American Progress, or the Heritage Foundation. For eight years, CAP was largely a Democratic government in exile—a place where mid-level Democrats could hang out, make connections, play with ideas, and work their way back into power. Not so different from the Heritage Foundation that does the same thing for Republicans. While all of us at TPC have our own personal views about who gets elected (some of which may surprise Brad), we have no institutional view. Really, we don’t.
So to Brad’s major point. Is partisan more effective than non-partisan? I’m not so sure. Has CAP changed the policy agenda in a big way? Call me after health reform.
Criticizing TPC for trying to build centrist coalitions for middle-of-the-road ideas is like panning Bruce Springsteen for not being able to hit a curveball. It ain’t even our game.
It is far easier in this town being partisan. Funding flows more easily to those who support the prejudices of either major party. But both parties ceaselessly lie and obfuscate to gain political advantage. Most real people are apolitical. The public needs more, not less, nonpartisan commentary. We need more TPCs and less NAFs.
I think Brad has TPC confused with the New America Foundation, which is deliberately centrist and does advocate policy.
Of course, if I had my druthers, you would advance more policy, or at least present the more of the menu of policy options (including mine).
I disagree with a point made early in the piece. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities is far from being a middle-of-the-road institution. Unlike TPC and Brookings, CBPP is FAR to the left of mainstream U.S. politics. In fact, they are much too far to the left to be politically relevant — making Delong correct in the same sense that a broken clock is always right twice a day.
>Our reputation for nonpartisanship is critical to what we do. It is why people across the political spectrum acknowledge our estimates are credible even as they sometimes grumble about what the results imply for their own policy views. If we lose that credibility by turning ourselves into DeLongian partisans, the data lose much of their value.
Howard, I am so glad to see that you recognize the inestimable value of presenting honest data honestly and without slant. Once an organization goes partisan, the other side will never believe anything it says. There are dozens of partisan hack organizations in Beltway land and elsewhere, but there is only one TPC. I'd hate to lose it.
If Brad thinks that non-partisanship is pointless, I suppose he also believes that news sources should all emulate either Fox News or MSNBC. I disagree.
Tax policy debate without the TPC would be like a contest without any referee. No rules, just uncivilized mayhem. Crips vs. Bloods. That's not what I call progressive; it's regressive.
I have my own modest proposal: let the left and the right conduct their own think tank disarmament talks, eliminating redundant outfits that merely overkill all issues. We really need only one or two top-notch partisan think tanks on each side, plus one or two scrupulously non-partisan outfits for each specialized area of policy. The trouble is that scrupulously non-partisan outfits don't seem to exist, except for TPC and probably the CBO.
Nevertheless, and as you know very well, conservative Republicans who disagree with your conclusions dismiss you as a liberal think tank, but liberal Democrats who disagree with your conclusions never dismiss you as a conservative think tank.
In short, what used to be the bipartisan–or perhaps the non-partisan–sensible, pragmatic, technocratic center is now exclusively found on the Democratic side of the aisle. That is an asymmetry worth thinking about…
Yours,
Brad DeLong