How Would Small Businesses Fare Under Obama’s Tax Plan?
Earlier this week the Washington Post published an article painting the Administration’s tax plan as one that would burden small business owners with soaring tax payments. In stark contrast, a Post editorial run just two weeks earlier—“The Small Business Myth”—debunked claims that Obama’s plan unfairly targeted business owners. Which Washington Post piece is right?
The editorial.
There are plenty of legitimate reasons to oppose the Administration’s tax agenda — most notably that it fails to raise enough revenue to pay for projected spending, even after the current economic crisis has passed. But the heightened tax burden on small businesses just isn’t one of them. The truth is that the overwhelming majority of small business owners would still face relatively low tax rates under Obama’s plan, just as they do under the current tax code.
The claim that the Obama tax plan would disproportionately hit small businesses centers on the President’s proposal to allow the top two marginal income tax rates to revert to their pre-Bush levels. The Administration wants to continue the lower rates for single earners making under $200,000 and for married couples making less than $250,000. Marginal tax rates for wealthier taxpayers would rise to 36 percent from 33 percent and, for the very richest, to 39.6 percent from 35 percent.
Allowing these rates to rise would hurt very few small business owners. In 2009, about 36 million taxpayers have small business income — defined as taxpayers who report a gain or loss on tax schedules C, E, or F. This group includes not only sole proprietorships, S corporations and partnerships, but also taxpayers who receive royalties, rental income, and income from trusts. Of these 36 million small business owners, just 1.3 percent (about 457,000) fall into the top two tax brackets—indicating that approximately 99 percent of small business owners fare better under the President’s proposed changes to the statutory tax rates. Estimates by the Treasury Department and Joint Committee on Taxation reach a similar conclusion.
And not everyone who receives small business income should be classified as a small business owner; most derive the bulk of their income from other sources. TPC estimates show that only about 174,000 taxpayers, or 0.5 percent of small business owners, both fall into the top two marginal tax rates AND derive more than half their income from a small business. This group makes up 0.1 percent of all taxpayers, meaning that the chances of being in this group—a small business owner getting at least half of total income from small businesses and being subject to a tax increase—is about one in a thousand.
Most taxpayers get a break under the Administration’s tax plan. A small proportion would see their taxes rise. In this sense, small business owners are no different than everyone else.
I’m impressed, you know what you’re talking about
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This focuses on only those currently in this tax bracket. What about those who plan to be in the future?
I have no predictions, though others at TPC might. However, here is a link to an Eric Toder paper that looks at what has been happening to C Corps:
Happy reading.
Thanks, Howard
I've read that the 1986 Tax Reform prompted increased use of Subchapter S and decreased use of Subchapter C corporations among small business. I'd like to see an article explaining this and predicting whether or not the new tax policies will produce the reverse trend, and if so whether that is good, bad, or indifferent. Also what policy tweaks might mitigate any negative effects.
Also to be challenged is that, for that small number of businesses, the tax increase would lead to job losses.
This is not really true under the current tax system, since wages and salaries are deductible. If anything, it would lead to job gains since owners would hire someone to do the work instead of doing it themselves at a higher taxable rate (this is if tax reduction is their main aim, which is likely not really the case).